My Anthem

Friday, March 21, 2008

You Stock Punters, Beware the March of the Bears!

There was the Elephant walk, the Penguin dance, now beware the march of the Bears.
Google Bear Stearns if thou hath been too absorbed in GE2008 for one whole fortnight and
forgot the bullish bullshit some market pushers were telling you just months ago the KLCI would rocket towards 2,000-mark and that SIL and his bigwig corporate cronies will make a millionaire of everyoen who joins the Eat, Drink and Be Merry bandwagon.

For those whose memories are short, just Google Societie Generale, Bear Sterns and realise this is indeed a Globalsied world out there, and the dictum of "Survival of the Fittest" still rules in the concrete, aided by the cyber, jungle. News nowadays travels almost instantly via te Internet.

And thanks to the Internet-enabled news that's less goverment-controlled, the average readers, and investors, and stock punters, do have quick access if they will it to the latest political, business and cyber developments around the world -- and all these events would impact on the local bourses like never before. You can fudge, you can spin, but finally, the Truth will prevail. The longer any government hides from the truth staring at them on the walls in the news room, the trading floor, the tehtarik rumour-vine, the harder the fall.

Desi was partially burnt in te 1997/98 crash when the Asian finacial tsunami hit several countries, including Malaysia, it was an expensive lesson learnt. Just like GE2008, nobody knew where the tsunami came from. But my fate was nothing compared with a 27-year-old abillionaire becoming a multi-millionaire-debtor overnight. Luckily his reputation preceded him and Gopeng folks sent him packing, down Under agin?

Those who are still loking at the PC screens tracking your fave stocks at the Stock Brokergae nearest you,please read the following report carefoolly, from Star online, thank them,not me. Okay, I'll accept a tehtarik if it can save thee several thousands.:)

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Friday March 21, 2008

Analysts: Asian equities may feel the spillover effect till year-end

By LOONG TSE MIN

PETALING JAYA: While there has been talk of US capital markets inching closer to a bottom, the spillover effect of the credit crisis may linger till year's end for Asian equities, analysts say.
Morgan Stanley is reported as saying that US financial stocks are closer to “bottoming out,” and had improved its recommendations on Citigroup and National City Corp.

Morgan Stanley Research Asia Pacific said that global and Asian credit-market conditions were at their worst since 2001. Traders work the floor of NY stock exchange.

“Asian credit spreads have followed the blowout in US credit spreads, leading to a sharp slowdown in issuance,'' the investment bank said. “Asian credit markets have not just dramatically under-performed equities, but have also under-performed other credit markets.”
In the current environment, access to funds and asset values were key, Morgan Stanley said.

“For Asia, current account surpluses, net external assets, low net gearing, low bank loan-deposit ratios and strong retail deposit franchises should limit the impact of the credit crunch.
“Nonetheless, within the region, those dependent on capital inflows and wholesale funding – Australia, India and (South) Korea – appear vulnerable,” it said.

While the data in the Morgan Stanley report covered Malaysia, it did not give a specific comment on the country's market. However, local fund manager, Pacific Mutual Fund Bhd chief executive officer and chief investment officer Michael Auyeung said the Malaysian market with its own intrinsic issues was unique in the region at this time.

“The market is jittery due to a case of politics. Once it works through that, the Malaysian market looks resilient,” he said.

TA Securities technical analyst Stephen Soo told StarBiz that the regional bourses including Malaysia had been linked to the US market in part due to heavy foreign selling as the credit crisis in America unfolded.

Soo puts the near-term support for the KL Composite Index at 1,150 points and the one-year support level at 1,090, with another support level being the 1,000-point psychological level.

With some economic numbers in United States pointing to a recession and the previously safe haven of commodities sliding since Wednesday, Soo said there was a risk of global markets overshooting on the downside.

DESI's parting short:

The highlighted portions in te above report are Desi's (thus BOLDED) but I hold no responsibility if thou should take any positions -- backside, frontside or any directional, do you think I care? -- so don't sue me when others make some quick bucks, Okay!

If thou had not read to this point, God help Thee, it's your MOney,HOney!

I:
S:

A:men/Amin

PPS @2.31PM:

Yes, I am my ER' slave, working my hard oouch!:(
I see another RED LIGHT ahead; no! I am not around Sun Complek!:(


Friday March 21, 2008

Merrill files suit against insurer

NEW YORK: Merrill Lynch & Co Inc said on Wednesday it sued XL Capital Assurance Inc seeking to stop the insurer from backing out of credit guarantees, fuelling speculation the world's largest brokerage may need to take further writedowns.

XL Capital Assurance, a unit of Security Capital Assurance Ltd, had agreed to protect about US$3.1bil of Merrill's portfolios of consumer debt against default.
The SCA unit used credit-default swaps to provide the guarantee, and its efforts to get out of the contracts reflects what could be a widening problem on Wall Street: cash-strapped bond insurers backing out of obligations.

A Merrill Lynch sign is seen above the main entrance to its HQ in New York. – Reuters

Yesterday, Security Capital Assurance said its XL Capital Assurance bond insurance unit cancelled collateralized debt obligation guarantees sold to Merrill.

“Merrill gave the control rights on seven CDO contracts to one or more third parties without our knowledge and in direct violation of our agreements,” SCA said in a statement yesterday. “As a result, we have a responsibility to take the appropriate action and terminate these contracts.'' – Agencies


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3 comments:

Anonymous said...

A Chinese newspaper point out that, 10 March 2008 market oversell are work of Malaysia LOCAL fund manager.

And the rebound on 11 March 2008 are support by FOREIGN fund manager.

Maverick SM said...

It's time to pick value stocks with P/E ration of less than 1:10.

The market may be swinging up and down, but those companies with strong fundamentals and global outreach will be resilient.

I'm munching...

Anonymous said...

This post is likeable, and your blog is very interesting, congratulations!!

What is 'Recession Proof'?

You can almost hear the wallets snapping shut. Folks are cutting back on their spending every way they can. According to those who know, we are either in a recession, or are about to be. I would hate to be trying to sell real estate or new cars right now. Talk about hitting your head against the wall. Ouch!

That got me to thinking of what businesses make sense during a recession. Certainly health care does. Baby boomers are going to need every kind of health care imaginable. For all I know, economic bad times makes people sick too.

Other types of businesses that should be recession proof include vital home repairs, like plumbing, electrical, and roofing.
Folks can't put off fixing a clogged toilet or a leaking roof just because they're a little short on cash.

And you know what they say about death and t.ax.es. A well-run funeral home or a tax consulting business shouldn't be hurt by an economic downturn.

But all these jobs require training, and even certification. And that takes time. By the time you've learned one of these trades, the recession may well be over. That got me to thinking about one business that's truly recession-proof, and you can get started almost immediately: Day Trading.

Day Trading refers to the buying and selling of stocks within the same trading day. I know what you're thinking: how can a day trader be successful when the stock market is down, day after day? Well, day traders profit from volatility - when there are big swings in stock prices, there is money to be made.

It used to be that Day Trading was only done by financial institutions with access to technology and information. Now, almost anyone with Internet access can become a day trader, if they know what to do.

Manny Backus

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